Datasets:
id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 396 1.1k | end_time stringdate 2026-10-14 18:00:00+0800 2026-10-20 23:59:59+0800 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 144 505 |
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6606575b393fd3f7d74a25c2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results at approximately 6:45 a.m. US Eastern Time on Wednesday 14 October 2026. In that earnings press release, will Bank of America's GAAP diluted earnings... | 2026-10-15T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results at approximately 6:45 a.m. US Eastern Time on Wednesday 14 October 2026. In that earnings press release, will Bank of America's GAAP diluted earnings per common share for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 be USD 1.15 or high... |
23a1969c524e770b2f8e11ea | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co., Ltd. (stock code 2636) begins trading its H shares on the Main Board of The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong at 9:00 a.m. on Thursday 15 October 2026, in a global offering priced at no more than HK$38.80 per H share... | 2026-10-15T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co., Ltd. (stock code 2636) begins trading its H shares on the Main Board of The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong at 9:00 a.m. on Thursday 15 October 2026, in a global offering priced at no more than HK$38.80 per H share. Will Transsion's H-share closing price on its first day of trading, 15 Octo... |
d1daaadb832758c4e6563aef | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "The FDA assigned a PDUFA goal date of 17 October 2026 to the supplemental New Drug Application from Viatris Inc. (NASDAQ: VTRS) and Opus Genetics, Inc. (NASDAQ: IRD) for MR-141 (phentolamine ophthalmic solution 0.75%) for the treatment of pres... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | The FDA assigned a PDUFA goal date of 17 October 2026 to the supplemental New Drug Application from Viatris Inc. (NASDAQ: VTRS) and Opus Genetics, Inc. (NASDAQ: IRD) for MR-141 (phentolamine ophthalmic solution 0.75%) for the treatment of presbyopia. Which of the following will be the publicly announced status of that ... |
8a629a318c3d529b3f14b294 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR, formerly MicroStrategy) discloses its bitcoin purchases in a Form 8-K filed with the SEC on most Mondays. In the Form 8-K that Strategy files on Monday 19 October 2026 covering the preceding reporting period, how m... | 2026-10-20T12:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR, formerly MicroStrategy) discloses its bitcoin purchases in a Form 8-K filed with the SEC on most Mondays. In the Form 8-K that Strategy files on Monday 19 October 2026 covering the preceding reporting period, how many bitcoin will it report having acquired during that period? |
2abda12cddebd8a83c11ff4b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TWSE: 2330) holds its third-quarter 2026 earnings conference on Thursday 15 October 2026. In which of the following ranges will TSMC's ordinary shares close on the Taiwan Stock Exchange on the next t... | 2026-10-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TWSE: 2330) holds its third-quarter 2026 earnings conference on Thursday 15 October 2026. In which of the following ranges will TSMC's ordinary shares close on the Taiwan Stock Exchange on the next trading session, Friday 16 October 2026 (closing price in New Taiwan dollars)? |
c48d90a96cfb1aaa000e66ff | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In which of the following ranges will the Hang Seng Index close on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday 16 October 2026, as printed in HKEX's Securities Market Daily Quotations for that trading day? (resolved around 2026-10-16T23:59:59+08:00... | 2026-10-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In which of the following ranges will the Hang Seng Index close on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday 16 October 2026, as printed in HKEX's Securities Market Daily Quotations for that trading day? |
0c69ec588babfb5e10bd100d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Rio Tinto is scheduled to publish its third-quarter 2026 operations review (production results) on 14 October 2026. In that release, what will Rio Tinto report as its Pilbara iron ore shipments (sales) for Q3 2026 on a 100% basis, in millions ... | 2026-10-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Rio Tinto is scheduled to publish its third-quarter 2026 operations review (production results) on 14 October 2026. In that release, what will Rio Tinto report as its Pilbara iron ore shipments (sales) for Q3 2026 on a 100% basis, in millions of wet metric tonnes to one decimal place? |
098279c3b242ec55cc26f434 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) holds its Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 14:00 Taiwan time. In which of the following ranges will the consolidated gross margin TSMC reports for the third... | 2026-10-15T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) holds its Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 14:00 Taiwan time. In which of the following ranges will the consolidated gross margin TSMC reports for the third quarter of 2026 fall? |
f3365f84bf303d77b779ff4e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On Box Office Mojo's Domestic 2026 Weekend 42 chart (the weekend of October 16-18, 2026), which five releases will occupy ranks 1 through 5, in order from rank 1 to rank 5? (Give the release titles only, in rank order.) (resolved around 2026-1... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | On Box Office Mojo's Domestic 2026 Weekend 42 chart (the weekend of October 16-18, 2026), which five releases will occupy ranks 1 through 5, in order from rank 1 to rank 5? (Give the release titles only, in rank order.) |
d5539fd07438efee5da2685f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the UK Official Albums Chart Top 100 dated 16 October 2026 (chart week 16-22 October 2026) published by the Official Charts Company, which five albums will be at Number 1 through Number 5, in order? (Give the album titles and artists, in ra... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | On the UK Official Albums Chart Top 100 dated 16 October 2026 (chart week 16-22 October 2026) published by the Official Charts Company, which five albums will be at Number 1 through Number 5, in order? (Give the album titles and artists, in rank order.) |
ae7c084c7d1da787bd904b1e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the Billboard Japan Hot 100 chart published on Wednesday 14 October 2026 (the chart archived under year=2026, month=10, day=19 on billboard-japan.com), which five songs will be ranked 1 through 5, in order? (Give the song titles and artists... | 2026-10-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | On the Billboard Japan Hot 100 chart published on Wednesday 14 October 2026 (the chart archived under year=2026, month=10, day=19 on billboard-japan.com), which five songs will be ranked 1 through 5, in order? (Give the song titles and artists, in rank order.) |
117d678e92c0bbd3085ec34c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "On the Oricon Weekly Singles Ranking (オリコン週間シングルランキング) covering the tracking week 12-18 October 2026 - the chart labelled 2026年10月26日付, announced on Tuesday 20 October 2026 - which five singles will be ranked 1 through 5, in order? (Give the s... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | On the Oricon Weekly Singles Ranking (オリコン週間シングルランキング) covering the tracking week 12-18 October 2026 - the chart labelled 2026年10月26日付, announced on Tuesday 20 October 2026 - which five singles will be ranked 1 through 5, in order? (Give the single titles and artists, in rank order.) |
2bce66363c43f42b2fe9c5fd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which album will be ranked No. 1 on the Oricon Weekly Albums Ranking (オリコン週間アルバムランキング) covering the tracking week 12-18 October 2026 - the chart labelled 2026年10月26日付, announced on Tuesday 20 October 2026? (Give the album title and artist.) (r... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which album will be ranked No. 1 on the Oricon Weekly Albums Ranking (オリコン週間アルバムランキング) covering the tracking week 12-18 October 2026 - the chart labelled 2026年10月26日付, announced on Tuesday 20 October 2026? (Give the album title and artist.) |
d74b64c98b4d407d063b25fd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which film will win the Best Film Award in the Official Competition at the 70th BFI London Film Festival, announced on Sunday 18 October 2026? (Give the film title.) (resolved around 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the sour... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which film will win the Best Film Award in the Official Competition at the 70th BFI London Film Festival, announced on Sunday 18 October 2026? (Give the film title.) |
ae1d90e892e4dfcde0e21a81 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which album will be ranked No. 1 on the Billboard Japan Hot Albums chart published on Wednesday 14 October 2026 (the chart archived under a=hot_albums, year=2026, month=10, day=19 on billboard-japan.com)? (Give the album title and artist.) (re... | 2026-10-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which album will be ranked No. 1 on the Billboard Japan Hot Albums chart published on Wednesday 14 October 2026 (the chart archived under a=hot_albums, year=2026, month=10, day=19 on billboard-japan.com)? (Give the album title and artist.) |
878e7e5d6c3b418d32331128 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which album will be No. 1 on the ARIA Top 50 Albums chart for the week of 19 October 2026, released by the Australian Recording Industry Association on Friday 16 October 2026? (Give the album title and artist.) (resolved around 2026-10-18T23:5... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which album will be No. 1 on the ARIA Top 50 Albums chart for the week of 19 October 2026, released by the Australian Recording Industry Association on Friday 16 October 2026? (Give the album title and artist.) |
66cef2d8937d57d2afe9e9a5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will 'Choosin' Texas' by Ella Langley be the No. 1 single on the ARIA Top 50 Singles chart for the week of 19 October 2026, released by the Australian Recording Industry Association on Friday 16 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-18T23:59:... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will 'Choosin' Texas' by Ella Langley be the No. 1 single on the ARIA Top 50 Singles chart for the week of 19 October 2026, released by the Australian Recording Industry Association on Friday 16 October 2026? |
1a9474a6b60208f5367c7859 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the UEFA Champions League 2026/27 league phase Matchday 2 fixture Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain at the Etihad Stadium (kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 21:00 CEST = Thursday 15 October 2026, 03:00 GMT+8), what will the full-time... | 2026-10-15T08:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the UEFA Champions League 2026/27 league phase Matchday 2 fixture Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain at the Etihad Stadium (kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 21:00 CEST = Thursday 15 October 2026, 03:00 GMT+8), what will the full-time result be: a Manchester City win, a draw, or a Paris Saint-Germain win? |
883b14f8a2d19ec5c06ff9fa | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Premier League 2026/27 Matchweek 7 fixture Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal at the City Ground (kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:30 UK time = 23:30 GMT+8 on 18 October), what will the full-time result be: a Nottingham Forest win, a draw,... | 2026-10-19T06:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the Premier League 2026/27 Matchweek 7 fixture Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal at the City Ground (kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:30 UK time = 23:30 GMT+8 on 18 October), what will the full-time result be: a Nottingham Forest win, a draw, or an Arsenal win? |
a4d88e0800507143a789a240 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "After all nine Bundesliga 2026/27 Matchday 6 fixtures have been played (16-18 October 2026), which three clubs will occupy positions 1, 2 and 3 of the Bundesliga table, in that order, as published in the 'Tabelle' section of the official DFB D... | 2026-10-19T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | After all nine Bundesliga 2026/27 Matchday 6 fixtures have been played (16-18 October 2026), which three clubs will occupy positions 1, 2 and 3 of the Bundesliga table, in that order, as published in the 'Tabelle' section of the official DFB Datencenter Matchday 6 page? |
48e3848a8eb2404ea8d441e1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the US FDA approve Genentech/Roche's supplemental Biologics License Application for Enspryng (satralizumab) for the treatment of thyroid eye disease (TED) on or before 23:59:59 on 18 October 2026 US Eastern Time, as announced by an offici... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will the US FDA approve Genentech/Roche's supplemental Biologics License Application for Enspryng (satralizumab) for the treatment of thyroid eye disease (TED) on or before 23:59:59 on 18 October 2026 US Eastern Time, as announced by an official Genentech or Roche media release? |
4641ca84b7acba18db96a137 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the US FDA approve the supplemental New Drug Application for MR-141 (phentolamine ophthalmic solution 0.75%) for the treatment of presbyopia, as announced by an official Viatris press release published on or before 2026-10-20 23:59:59 GMT... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will the US FDA approve the supplemental New Drug Application for MR-141 (phentolamine ophthalmic solution 0.75%) for the treatment of presbyopia, as announced by an official Viatris press release published on or before 2026-10-20 23:59:59 GMT+8 (= 20 October 2026 11:59:59 US Eastern Time)? |
21f169be454e251a9b9840bd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In China CDC's weekly national acute respiratory infectious disease sentinel surveillance bulletin for 2026 week 41 (surveillance week 5-11 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Thursday 15 October 2026), will the influenza-virus nucleic-... | 2026-10-17T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | In China CDC's weekly national acute respiratory infectious disease sentinel surveillance bulletin for 2026 week 41 (surveillance week 5-11 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Thursday 15 October 2026), will the influenza-virus nucleic-acid positivity rate among respiratory specimens from OUTPATIENT AND EMERGENC... |
70eb3bb21d636cc179633f11 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Public Health Scotland's 'Viral respiratory diseases in Scotland surveillance report' published on 15 October 2026 (covering ISO week 41, 5-11 October 2026), will the 'Main points' section state that all-Scotland national influenza activity... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | In Public Health Scotland's 'Viral respiratory diseases in Scotland surveillance report' published on 15 October 2026 (covering ISO week 41, 5-11 October 2026), will the 'Main points' section state that all-Scotland national influenza activity has risen above baseline - i.e. report a national activity level of 'low' or... |
dc0eb5352c7d3f9285d236a4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the CDC FluView 'Weekly US Influenza Surveillance Report: Key Updates for Week 40, ending October 10, 2026' (scheduled for publication on Friday 16 October 2026), which range will contain the percentage of respiratory specimens testing posi... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In the CDC FluView 'Weekly US Influenza Surveillance Report: Key Updates for Week 40, ending October 10, 2026' (scheduled for publication on Friday 16 October 2026), which range will contain the percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza at US CLINICAL laboratories nationwide during Week 40? |
57ddefe8118a984fb35a177b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the UKHSA 'National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report' published on 15 October 2026 (the week 42 report, covering data to week 41 of 2026, data up to 11 October 2026), which range will contain the overall weekly hospital admission rate f... | 2026-10-17T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In the UKHSA 'National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report' published on 15 October 2026 (the week 42 report, covering data to week 41 of 2026, data up to 11 October 2026), which range will contain the overall weekly hospital admission rate for INFLUENZA in England, in admissions per 100,000 population? |
f075936fd635c6333584749b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Japan's weekly influenza epidemiological flash report for 2026 week 41 (surveillance week 5-11 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Friday 16 October 2026), which range will contain the NATIONWIDE reports-per-sentinel-site figure for ... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In Japan's weekly influenza epidemiological flash report for 2026 week 41 (surveillance week 5-11 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Friday 16 October 2026), which range will contain the NATIONWIDE reports-per-sentinel-site figure for influenza (定点当たり報告数, 総数 row)? |
d7b6ada4eba34e813fad0581 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the CDC 'Measles Cases and Outbreaks' weekly update published on Friday 16 October 2026 (reflecting confirmed cases reported to CDC as of noon on Thursday 15 October 2026), which range will contain the total number of confirmed measles case... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In the CDC 'Measles Cases and Outbreaks' weekly update published on Friday 16 October 2026 (reflecting confirmed cases reported to CDC as of noon on Thursday 15 October 2026), which range will contain the total number of confirmed measles cases reported in the United States in 2026? |
c281f09ecb42ac153bd616e4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Hong Kong Centre for Health Protection's 'COVID-19 & Flu Express' issue for week 41 of 2026 (reporting period 4-10 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Thursday 15 October 2026), how many influenza-like illness (ILI) outbreaks occ... | 2026-10-17T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | In the Hong Kong Centre for Health Protection's 'COVID-19 & Flu Express' issue for week 41 of 2026 (reporting period 4-10 October 2026, scheduled for publication on Thursday 15 October 2026), how many influenza-like illness (ILI) outbreaks occurring in schools and institutions will be recorded for week 41? |
b6e12b2903f536d32df46e37 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the European Medicines Agency's 'Meeting highlights from the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) 12-15 October 2026', expected to be published on Friday 16 October 2026, how many NEW MEDICINES will the CHMP be reported as ... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | In the European Medicines Agency's 'Meeting highlights from the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) 12-15 October 2026', expected to be published on Friday 16 October 2026, how many NEW MEDICINES will the CHMP be reported as having recommended for approval at its October 2026 meeting? |
652504e44e815a250407946e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Monetary Authority of Singapore's October 2026 Monetary Policy Statement, issued on 14 October 2026, will MAS increase the rate of appreciation (the slope) of the S$NEER policy band? (resolved around 2026-10-14T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
... | 2026-10-14T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the Monetary Authority of Singapore's October 2026 Monetary Policy Statement, issued on 14 October 2026, will MAS increase the rate of appreciation (the slope) of the S$NEER policy band? |
33710978ccb8b294a8f43010 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will China's third-quarter 2026 real GDP growth, as first published by the National Bureau of Statistics on 19 October 2026, be 4.5% or higher year-on-year? (resolved around 2026-10-19T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outc... | 2026-10-19T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will China's third-quarter 2026 real GDP growth, as first published by the National Bureau of Statistics on 19 October 2026, be 4.5% or higher year-on-year? |
69a026f8c6e45f62cbb26cb2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Australia's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for September 2026, as first published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on 15 October 2026, be 4.7% or higher? (resolved around 2026-10-15T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be ... | 2026-10-15T14:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Australia's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for September 2026, as first published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on 15 October 2026, be 4.7% or higher? |
ba086f83d7c5ce24cdb7b968 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Canada's all-items Consumer Price Index for September 2026 (not seasonally adjusted, 12-month change), published by Statistics Canada on 19 October 2026, be 3.1% or higher? (resolved around 2026-10-19T23:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outco... | 2026-10-19T23:30:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Canada's all-items Consumer Price Index for September 2026 (not seasonally adjusted, 12-month change), published by Statistics Canada on 19 October 2026, be 3.1% or higher? |
b5a6a579e57d6270ca9473b1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Federal Reserve's G.17 statistical release of 16 October 2026, will total US industrial production for September 2026 show a monthly percent change of +0.5 percent or more? (resolved around 2026-10-16T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the out... | 2026-10-16T23:59:00+08:00 | 1 | In the Federal Reserve's G.17 statistical release of 16 October 2026, will total US industrial production for September 2026 show a monthly percent change of +0.5 percent or more? |
638e57651bb5daf824dc2561 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank's Monetary Council decide about the Hungarian central bank base rate at its policy meeting on 20 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-20T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Cut the base rate by more t... | 2026-10-20T23:59:00+08:00 | 2 | What will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank's Monetary Council decide about the Hungarian central bank base rate at its policy meeting on 20 October 2026? |
d2184669c4f7af0228d76b2f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the US Census Bureau's advance estimate released on 15 October 2026, which range will the September 2026 month-over-month percent change in total retail and food services sales (seasonally adjusted) fall into? (resolved around 2026-10-15T23... | 2026-10-15T23:30:00+08:00 | 2 | In the US Census Bureau's advance estimate released on 15 October 2026, which range will the September 2026 month-over-month percent change in total retail and food services sales (seasonally adjusted) fall into? |
db6431284048ad0feae189b8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which range will the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in the US Producer Price Index for final demand in September 2026 fall into, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 15 October 2026? (resolved around 202... | 2026-10-15T23:30:00+08:00 | 2 | Which range will the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in the US Producer Price Index for final demand in September 2026 fall into, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 15 October 2026? |
3fd80c180f6d3ade0b8bd39c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which range will China's Producer Price Index for industrial products (PPI) year-on-year change for September 2026 fall into, as published by the National Bureau of Statistics on 14 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-14T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT... | 2026-10-14T18:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Which range will China's Producer Price Index for industrial products (PPI) year-on-year change for September 2026 fall into, as published by the National Bureau of Statistics on 14 October 2026? |
65a1296884ba2ea493b96ff3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the National Bureau of Statistics bulletin on sales prices of commercial residential buildings in 70 large and medium-sized Chinese cities for September 2026, scheduled for release on 19 October 2026, how many of the 70 cities will show a m... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | In the National Bureau of Statistics bulletin on sales prices of commercial residential buildings in 70 large and medium-sized Chinese cities for September 2026, scheduled for release on 19 October 2026, how many of the 70 cities will show a month-on-month rise or no change in NEW commercial residential building sales ... |
c6529b87124a0bc1fa7f9346 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the seasonally adjusted annual rate of privately-owned housing starts in the United States for September 2026 be, in thousands of units, as first published jointly by the US Census Bureau and HUD on 20 October 2026? (resolved around ... | 2026-10-20T23:30:00+08:00 | 3 | What will the seasonally adjusted annual rate of privately-owned housing starts in the United States for September 2026 be, in thousands of units, as first published jointly by the US Census Bureau and HUD on 20 October 2026? |
2cf02142dae02c18a1b631e6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the advance estimates released by Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry on 14 October 2026, by what percentage will Singapore's GDP have grown year-on-year in the third quarter of 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-14T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8... | 2026-10-14T18:00:00+08:00 | 4 | In the advance estimates released by Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry on 14 October 2026, by what percentage will Singapore's GDP have grown year-on-year in the third quarter of 2026? |
08eee03ac1ef83bcae3eef8e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Game 3 of the 2026 MLB National League Championship Series, played on Wednesday 14 October 2026 (US Eastern Time) at Dodger Stadium between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers, which team will win the game? (resolved around 20... | 2026-10-15T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In Game 3 of the 2026 MLB National League Championship Series, played on Wednesday 14 October 2026 (US Eastern Time) at Dodger Stadium between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers, which team will win the game? |
e52d58b90f4f10e545220550 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Game 3 of the 2026 MLB American League Championship Series, played on Thursday 15 October 2026 (US Eastern Time) at Progressive Field between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians, which team will win the game? (resolved around 202... | 2026-10-16T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In Game 3 of the 2026 MLB American League Championship Series, played on Thursday 15 October 2026 (US Eastern Time) at Progressive Field between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians, which team will win the game? |
1b4638953372096f2e8fec4b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the NFL 2026 regular-season Week 6 Thursday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High, kicking off 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday 15 October 2026, which team will win? (resolved around 2... | 2026-10-16T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In the NFL 2026 regular-season Week 6 Thursday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High, kicking off 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday 15 October 2026, which team will win? |
3ccb6219e0594cde1f70730d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (UFC Fight Night 291) at Rogers Place in Edmonton on Saturday 17 October 2026, who will win the welterweight main event between Joaquin Buckley and Mike Malott? (resolved around 2026-10-18T18:00:00+08:00 ... | 2026-10-18T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | At UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (UFC Fight Night 291) at Rogers Place in Edmonton on Saturday 17 October 2026, who will win the welterweight main event between Joaquin Buckley and Mike Malott? |
984de3df9f2c6ed08a68d323 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many games in total will the 2026 MLB National League Championship Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers take to decide, counting all games actually played in the series? (resolved around 2026-10-20T20:00:00+08:0... | 2026-10-20T20:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many games in total will the 2026 MLB National League Championship Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers take to decide, counting all games actually played in the series? |
6dd47f7e57095520753ff373 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which team will win the Qualifying Match of the League of Legends 2026 World Championship Play-In Stage on 18 October 2026 at Riot Games Arena in Los Angeles and claim the single remaining place in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage? (resolved around... | 2026-10-19T20:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Which team will win the Qualifying Match of the League of Legends 2026 World Championship Play-In Stage on 18 October 2026 at Riot Games Arena in Los Angeles and claim the single remaining place in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage? |
10176ee007a83537ea5ff429 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott in Edmonton on Saturday 17 October 2026, how will the women's flyweight co-main event between Erin Blanchfield and Jasmine Jasudavicius be decided? (resolved around 2026-10-18T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. ... | 2026-10-18T18:00:00+08:00 | 2 | At UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott in Edmonton on Saturday 17 October 2026, how will the women's flyweight co-main event between Erin Blanchfield and Jasmine Jasudavicius be decided? |
9250892b46a91f7f78a9fc5b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Game 1 of the 2026 WNBA Finals between the Atlanta Dream and the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center on Saturday 17 October 2026, which team will win and by what margin band? (resolved around 2026-10-18T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the ou... | 2026-10-18T18:00:00+08:00 | 2 | In Game 1 of the 2026 WNBA Finals between the Atlanta Dream and the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center on Saturday 17 October 2026, which team will win and by what margin band? |
21cecb6e75b5745c804e01f1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the men's singles title at the 2026 Rolex Shanghai Masters (ATP Masters 1000, Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena), whose final is played on Sunday 18 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Who will win the men's singles title at the 2026 Rolex Shanghai Masters (ATP Masters 1000, Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena), whose final is played on Sunday 18 October 2026? |
b6388bb4b8a81517f9f2149e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the women's singles title at the 2026 Dongfeng · Voyah Wuhan Open (WTA 1000, Wuhan, China), whose final is played on Sunday 18 October 2026? (resolved around 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native va... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Who will win the women's singles title at the 2026 Dongfeng · Voyah Wuhan Open (WTA 1000, Wuhan, China), whose final is played on Sunday 18 October 2026? |
b6e0a86f712de80c15f4931f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Among the twelve NFL regular-season Week 6 games played on Sunday 18 October 2026 (US Eastern Time), how many will be won by the designated visiting (road) team? (resolved around 2026-10-19T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-n... | 2026-10-19T18:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Among the twelve NFL regular-season Week 6 games played on Sunday 18 October 2026 (US Eastern Time), how many will be won by the designated visiting (road) team? |
2221a795b1985f6c3592842e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which four players will reach the men's singles semifinals of the 2026 Rolex Shanghai Masters (ATP Masters 1000)? Give the four player names only, in any order. (resolved around 2026-10-18T10:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-na... | 2026-10-18T10:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Which four players will reach the men's singles semifinals of the 2026 Rolex Shanghai Masters (ATP Masters 1000)? Give the four player names only, in any order. |
201c56372de7bed8ebc1a5d2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which four players will reach the women's singles semifinals of the 2026 Dongfeng · Voyah Wuhan Open (WTA 1000)? Give the four player names only, in any order. (resolved around 2026-10-17T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-nat... | 2026-10-17T14:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Which four players will reach the women's singles semifinals of the 2026 Dongfeng · Voyah Wuhan Open (WTA 1000)? Give the four player names only, in any order. |
c5a282fc85b396b9b710d57e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the winning score relative to par be at the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai (LPGA Tour, Sheshan Golf Club, Shanghai, 15-18 October 2026)? Give the champion's 72-hole total expressed as a signed number of strokes to par (for example -20). (r... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What will the winning score relative to par be at the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai (LPGA Tour, Sheshan Golf Club, Shanghai, 15-18 October 2026)? Give the champion's 72-hole total expressed as a signed number of strokes to par (for example -20). |
363a2d3595eeefb970f2ed04 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the second round of the 2026 Czech Senate election on 16-17 October 2026, who will win Senate district No. 36 (Ceska Lipa): Jitka Volfova (ANO 2011) or Martin Puta (Starostove pro Liberecky kraj)? (resolved around 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 ... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | In the second round of the 2026 Czech Senate election on 16-17 October 2026, who will win Senate district No. 36 (Ceska Lipa): Jitka Volfova (ANO 2011) or Martin Puta (Starostove pro Liberecky kraj)? |
e9951ca082a49d4db6c86e47 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the nationwide voter turnout percentage (UCAST_PROC), to two decimal places, recorded for the second round (KOLO=2) of the 2026 Czech Senate election held on 16-17 October 2026, in the Czech Statistical Office official results agg... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What will be the nationwide voter turnout percentage (UCAST_PROC), to two decimal places, recorded for the second round (KOLO=2) of the 2026 Czech Senate election held on 16-17 October 2026, in the Czech Statistical Office official results aggregate? |
6bc8077cc56ebb509e87b36c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will be elected Mayor of Yokohama in the mayoral election held on 18 October 2026? Give the winning candidate's name from the seven candidates on the ballot: Sachiko Fujikawa, Takeharu Yamanaka, Kazuma Nakatani, Atsumi Harasawa, Atsushi Fu... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Who will be elected Mayor of Yokohama in the mayoral election held on 18 October 2026? Give the winning candidate's name from the seven candidates on the ballot: Sachiko Fujikawa, Takeharu Yamanaka, Kazuma Nakatani, Atsumi Harasawa, Atsushi Fukuyama, Riken Yamamoto, Yuka Asaka. |
acaa705d3b9c5c353720917c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the final citywide voter turnout rate (投票率, 計 column), to two decimal places, in the Yokohama mayoral election held on 18 October 2026, as published by the Yokohama City Election Commission? (resolved around 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What will be the final citywide voter turnout rate (投票率, 計 column), to two decimal places, in the Yokohama mayoral election held on 18 October 2026, as published by the Yokohama City Election Commission? |
281760018e1709ea0293ce50 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will incumbent mayor Ken Sim (ABC Vancouver) receive the most votes for Mayor of Vancouver in the City of Vancouver general local election held on 17 October 2026, according to the City's preliminary election-night results? (resolved around 20... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will incumbent mayor Ken Sim (ABC Vancouver) receive the most votes for Mayor of Vancouver in the City of Vancouver general local election held on 17 October 2026, according to the City's preliminary election-night results? |
e66ad38c816909d0b1fad01c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the City of Vancouver general local election of 17 October 2026, which range will contain the number of the 10 City Councillor seats won by candidates affiliated with ABC Vancouver, according to the City's preliminary election-night results... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In the City of Vancouver general local election of 17 October 2026, which range will contain the number of the 10 City Councillor seats won by candidates affiliated with ABC Vancouver, according to the City's preliminary election-night results? |
da822ccdb281f45782d355bc | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will be elected Mayor of Surrey, British Columbia in the general local election held on 17 October 2026? Give the winning candidate's name from the seven declared candidates: Igal Ammons II, Linda Annis, Brenda Locke, Doug McCallum, Honvee... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Who will be elected Mayor of Surrey, British Columbia in the general local election held on 17 October 2026? Give the winning candidate's name from the seven declared candidates: Igal Ammons II, Linda Annis, Brenda Locke, Doug McCallum, Honveer Singh Randhawa, Mike Starchuk, Troy Van Vliet. |
137d3b4cf09f00acd60e4a53 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the City of Surrey general local election of 17 October 2026, which range will contain the number of the eight City Councillor seats won by candidates affiliated with Surrey Connect, according to the City's preliminary election-night result... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In the City of Surrey general local election of 17 October 2026, which range will contain the number of the eight City Councillor seats won by candidates affiliated with Surrey Connect, according to the City's preliminary election-night results? |
68b97f6cbdc5d21e142357fb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the City of Victoria, British Columbia general local election of 17 October 2026, will YES receive more than 50% of the valid votes cast on the non-binding ballot question "Do you support Saanich and Victoria becoming one municipality?", ac... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | In the City of Victoria, British Columbia general local election of 17 October 2026, will YES receive more than 50% of the valid votes cast on the non-binding ballot question "Do you support Saanich and Victoria becoming one municipality?", according to the City of Victoria's preliminary election-night results? |
b5bf52eb92c75543b827a396 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will be elected Mayor of Victoria, British Columbia in the general local election held on 17 October 2026, according to the City's preliminary election-night results? (resolved around 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be M... | 2026-10-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | Who will be elected Mayor of Victoria, British Columbia in the general local election held on 17 October 2026, according to the City's preliminary election-night results? |
0c8c9162dd0461d316d04f34 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the UN Security Council resolution renewing the Haiti sanctions regime established by resolution 2653 (2022), adopted on or before 20 October 2026, renew the travel ban, asset freeze and arms embargo measures for a period of at least one ... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will the UN Security Council resolution renewing the Haiti sanctions regime established by resolution 2653 (2022), adopted on or before 20 October 2026, renew the travel ban, asset freeze and arms embargo measures for a period of at least one year from the date of its adoption? |
669a7600db29566bfd860c1d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "JAXA has scheduled the launch of the Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) spacecraft aboard H3 Launch Vehicle flight No.10 (H3 F10) from the Yoshinobu Launch Complex at Tanegashima Space Center for 04:41:03 JST on 20 October 2026, with a reserved l... | 2026-10-20T21:00:00+08:00 | 2 | JAXA has scheduled the launch of the Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) spacecraft aboard H3 Launch Vehicle flight No.10 (H3 F10) from the Yoshinobu Launch Complex at Tanegashima Space Center for 04:41:03 JST on 20 October 2026, with a reserved launch period of 21 October - 7 November 2026. Reading JAXA's English H3 Launc... |
975136d0665f62b797a56f47 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "NASA and SpaceX are targeting approximately 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday 15 October 2026 for the SpaceX CRS-35 Dragon cargo spacecraft to dock autonomously to the space-facing port of the International Space Station's Harmony module. At exactly ... | 2026-10-17T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | NASA and SpaceX are targeting approximately 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday 15 October 2026 for the SpaceX CRS-35 Dragon cargo spacecraft to dock autonomously to the space-facing port of the International Space Station's Harmony module. At exactly what clock time, in US Eastern Daylight Time to the minute, will NASA's offic... |
7b51083f6737a96ad027c12c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "CEATEC 2026, Japan's largest consumer-electronics and digital-innovation exhibition, runs 13-16 October 2026 at Makuhari Messe under the theme 'Transformation' with 821 exhibiting companies and organisations. In the closing press release that ... | 2026-10-17T21:00:00+08:00 | 4 | CEATEC 2026, Japan's largest consumer-electronics and digital-innovation exhibition, runs 13-16 October 2026 at Makuhari Messe under the theme 'Transformation' with 821 exhibiting companies and organisations. In the closing press release that the organiser JEITA posts to the official CEATEC news page, what will be the ... |
1492d0251e1918113260dce6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the U.S. National Hurricane Center name a tenth Atlantic tropical or subtropical storm of the 2026 season (the next name on the list is JOSEPHINE), with the system's first NHC public advisory as a named tropical or subtropical storm issue... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will the U.S. National Hurricane Center name a tenth Atlantic tropical or subtropical storm of the 2026 season (the next name on the list is JOSEPHINE), with the system's first NHC public advisory as a named tropical or subtropical storm issued at or before 2026-10-20 15:59 UTC (= 2026-10-20 23:59 GMT+8) and at or afte... |
9e83cfa3117aa3983828220d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the U.S. Drought Monitor release with map date 2026-10-13 (published Thursday 2026-10-15), what percentage of the area of the Contiguous United States (CONUS) will be in drought category D2 (Severe Drought) or worse, i.e. the cumulative 'D2... | 2026-10-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | In the U.S. Drought Monitor release with map date 2026-10-13 (published Thursday 2026-10-15), what percentage of the area of the Contiguous United States (CONUS) will be in drought category D2 (Severe Drought) or worse, i.e. the cumulative 'D2' column of the USDM area-percent statistics, to two decimal places? |
1b1b149d9a3d316454b186c0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "According to the Japan Meteorological Agency's October 2026 daily observation table for the Tokyo station (block_no 47662), what will the daily maximum air temperature (最高気温, degrees Celsius to one decimal place) be at Tokyo on 2026-10-16 Japa... | 2026-10-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | According to the Japan Meteorological Agency's October 2026 daily observation table for the Tokyo station (block_no 47662), what will the daily maximum air temperature (最高気温, degrees Celsius to one decimal place) be at Tokyo on 2026-10-16 Japan Standard Time? |
bb507daf18982138b4f77f00 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many earthquakes of magnitude 5.0 or greater will the USGS ANSS Comprehensive Catalog (ComCat) record worldwide with origin times from 2026-10-13 16:00:00 UTC through 2026-10-19 15:59:59 UTC inclusive (equivalently 2026-10-14 00:00:00 to 2... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | How many earthquakes of magnitude 5.0 or greater will the USGS ANSS Comprehensive Catalog (ComCat) record worldwide with origin times from 2026-10-13 16:00:00 UTC through 2026-10-19 15:59:59 UTC inclusive (equivalently 2026-10-14 00:00:00 to 2026-10-19 23:59:59 GMT+8)? |
5ff607ddd8ec2dab0b3b59cd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NOAA Climate Prediction Center's weekly equatorial Pacific SST index file wksst9120.for (1991-2020 base period), what will the Nino 1+2 sea-surface-temperature ANOMALY (SSTA, degrees Celsius to one decimal place) be on the row labelled 14OC... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | In NOAA Climate Prediction Center's weekly equatorial Pacific SST index file wksst9120.for (1991-2020 base period), what will the Nino 1+2 sea-surface-temperature ANOMALY (SSTA, degrees Celsius to one decimal place) be on the row labelled 14OCT2026, published on Monday 2026-10-19? |
8218c90e42916fe9a01b5e50 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many NEW named tropical or subtropical storms will the U.S. National Hurricane Center designate in the Eastern Pacific basin during 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC to 2026-10-20 15:59 UTC (= 2026-10-14 00:00 to 2026-10-20 23:59 GMT+8), counting each ... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | How many NEW named tropical or subtropical storms will the U.S. National Hurricane Center designate in the Eastern Pacific basin during 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC to 2026-10-20 15:59 UTC (= 2026-10-14 00:00 to 2026-10-20 23:59 GMT+8), counting each system whose FIRST NHC public advisory at named strength (Tropical Storm, Sub... |
0c6aaccabe0a0d8d512434b2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory's weekly Mauna Loa carbon dioxide file co2_weekly_mlo.txt, what will the weekly mean CO2 mole fraction (ppm, two decimal places) be for the week beginning 2026-10-11, i.e. the row labelled '2026 10 11'? (re... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | In NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory's weekly Mauna Loa carbon dioxide file co2_weekly_mlo.txt, what will the weekly mean CO2 mole fraction (ppm, two decimal places) be for the week beginning 2026-10-11, i.e. the row labelled '2026 10 11'? |
f20469bbff208b3c1acbcd4b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In the Copernicus/ECMWF Climate Pulse daily ERA5 global surface air temperature series, what will the daily global mean 2 m temperature ANOMALY relative to the 1991-2020 reference period (column ano_91-20, degrees Celsius to three decimal plac... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | In the Copernicus/ECMWF Climate Pulse daily ERA5 global surface air temperature series, what will the daily global mean 2 m temperature ANOMALY relative to the 1991-2020 reference period (column ano_91-20, degrees Celsius to three decimal places) be for 2026-10-16? |
b78597c88c89276a465bcc4e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the daily planetary geomagnetic activity index Ap be for the UT day 2026-10-16 in GFZ Potsdam's official Kp/ap data file Kp_ap_Ap_SN_F107_nowcast.txt (an integer in nanoteslas; values above about 30 indicate geomagnetic storm conditi... | 2026-10-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What will the daily planetary geomagnetic activity index Ap be for the UT day 2026-10-16 in GFZ Potsdam's official Kp/ap data file Kp_ap_Ap_SN_F107_nowcast.txt (an integer in nanoteslas; values above about 30 indicate geomagnetic storm conditions capable of aurora at mid latitudes and power-grid impacts)? |
Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge
📄 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 🌐 LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-10-14, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-10-20, 24:00 (UTC+8). - You must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-10-22 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
⚠️ Next submission deadline: 2026-10-14, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online
Run your model on the tasks.
Email your predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Submission — [Your Model Name][Date]
Submission requirements:
- File format: JSON (or JSONL)
- Include dataset commit/hash you used
- Required fields:
id,prediction
Note: Predictions can be in various formats including single letters (A, B, C), letter combinations (A, C, D), text in any language, numbers, or empty strings. The prediction should exactly match the format expected by the specific event question.
Example (table view):
| id | prediction |
|---|---|
| 69b2b593782d0900685d5fcb | A |
| 69b160921ebfe30068c2cde1 | I |
| 69be8f979ade34005c7c742c | H |
| 69b2b593782d0900685d5fc6 | B, C, D, E, F, G, H, J, L, Q, T, V, W, ` |
| 69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf071 | A, C, D, E, F, G |
| 685141eca047fd005f77ef02 | Timea Babos, Nicole Melichar-Martinez, Storm Hunter |
| 6851736259f71f006037a1e2 | 112.52 点 |
| 685e494b6e8dbd006cdc6f7c | 平安曲靖, 山东长安网, 中国长安网 |
| 69b7f816d596fb005d43a31f | Western Conference |
| 69bfe1118038fb005cb27720 | "" |
Example (JSONL format):
{"id": "69b2b593782d0900685d5fcb", "prediction": "A"}
{"id": "69b160921ebfe30068c2cde1", "prediction": "I"}
{"id": "69be8f979ade34005c7c742c", "prediction": "H"}
{"id": "69b2b593782d0900685d5fc6", "prediction": "B, C, D, E, F, G, H, J, L, Q, T, V, W, `"}
{"id": "69ce6197dcd4cd005c5bf071", "prediction": "A, C, D, E, F, G"}
{"id": "685141eca047fd005f77ef02", "prediction": "Timea Babos, Nicole Melichar-Martinez, Storm Hunter"}
{"id": "6851736259f71f006037a1e2", "prediction": "112.52 点"}
{"id": "685e494b6e8dbd006cdc6f7c", "prediction": "平安曲靖, 山东长安网, 中国长安网"}
{"id": "69b7f816d596fb005d43a31f", "prediction": "Western Conference"}
{"id": "69bfe1118038fb005cb27720", "prediction": ""}
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
- Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard by default.
- You can choose to keep it private or make it public.
- Downloads last month
- 786